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Thursday, 29th Nov 2012ForexHint
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Economical News | Technical Analysis | Wild Card | Market Trend | Indicators

Fiscal Cliff- pelot painavat raaka-aineita.

Economical News

USD

Vaikka USD/JPY oli suurimman osan eilisestä päivästä laskusuuntainen, taalan onnistui tehdä huomattavia saavutuksia korkeampituottoisia valuuttoja vastaan fiscal cliff-pelkojen myötä. Kanadan dollaria vastaan USD saavutti yli 20 pistettä Euroopan kaupankäynnissä, nousten niinkin korkealle, kuin 0.9956. USD/CHF nousi yli 30 pistettä, saavuttaen hinnan 0.9339. Pieni laskeva korjaus toi parin takaisin tasolle 0.9325 illan sessiossa.

Tänään kannattaa seurata kehitystä USA:n kongressin budjetti neuvotteluissa. Lisäksi tullaan julkaisemaan USA:n alustava BKT lukema (US Prelim GDP) ja työttömyysvaade lukema (Unemployment Claims figure), klo 13.30 GMT, ja klo 15.00 GMT julkaistaan vireillä olevat asuntokaupat (Pending Home Sales), joilla kaikilla on mahdollisuus aiheuttaa suurtakin liikehdintää markkinoilla. Jos jokin indikaattoreista julkaistaan yli odotuksien, riskinotto saattaa johtaa dollarin laskuun.

EUR

Euro koki tappioita eilen sekä dollaria, että Japanin jeniä vastaan, epävarmuuden Kreikan sopimuksesta yhdistettynä mahdollisesti tulevaan USA:n talous kriisiin, johtaessa riskiaversioon sijoittajien keskuudessa. EUR/USD putosi yli 60 pistettä Euroopan sessiossa, käyden kauppaa niinkin alhaalla, kuin 1.2879. JPY:tä vastaan euro luovutti yli 40 pistettä keskipäivän aikana, käyden viikon alimmalla tasolla, hinnassa 105.30.

Tänään analyytikon varoittavat euron saattavan jatkaa laskua, jos USA:n budjetti neuvotteluissa ei edetä, ja sijoittajat jatkavat varojen siirtoa turvasatamiin. Lisäksi sijoittajien kannattaisi kiinnittää huomiota Italian velkahuutokaupan tuloksiin. Jos velkahuutokauppa näyttää Italian lainakustannusten nousseen, saattaa euro jatkaa laskutrendiä keskipäivän kaupankäynnissä.

Kulta

Kullan hinta putosi eilen yli 30$ unssilta, saavuttaen kolmen viikon pohjan tasolla 1705.85$, fiscal cliff -pelkojen, ja sen mahdollisuudesta lähettää USA takaisin lamaan, aiheutti sijoittajien varojen siirron turvasatama tuotteisiin. Euroopan kaupankäynnin päättyessä arvometalli onnistui tekemään pienen korjauksen, päätyen tasolle 1713$.

Tänään kannattaa kiinnittää huomiota USA:n indikaattoreihin ja budjettineuvotteluihin. Ellei positiivisia uutisia julkaista, analyytikot varoittavat hintojen jatkavan putoamista läpi koko päivän.

Technical Analysis

Wild Card

forex

Indicators

DateTime GMT$€£¥EventPeriodPrev.ForecastImp
2012-11-2900:00NZD
NBNZ Business Confidencehelp
17.2-5
NBNZ Business Confidence

This is the result of a survey conducted on manufacturers, builders, retailers, and agricultural firms gauging their level of confidence in the domestic economy. It's a leading indicator of economic strength for New Zealand.

2012-11-29AUD
HIA New Home Saleshelp
-3.7%-3
HIA New Home Sales

The percentage change in newly constructed homes sold in Australia. This is figure is released on a monthly basis.

2012-11-29EUR
Italian 10-y Bond Auctionhelp
4.81|1.5-5
Italian 10-y Bond Auction

Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction;

2012-11-2900:30AUD
Private Capital Expenditurehelp
3.4%2.1%5
Private Capital Expenditure

This indicator measures the change in value of new capital expenditures made by private firms and businesses in Australia.

2012-11-2906:45CHF
GDPhelp
-0.1%0.2%3
GDP

A country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of the aggregate value of all goods and services produced by its economy. It is the most comprehensive report issued on a nation's economic health and therefore typically carries a significant impact on currencies.

2012-11-2907:00GBP
Nationwide HPIhelp
0.6%0.2%3
Nationwide HPI

This indicator measures the change in the sales price of homes with mortgages backed by the Nationwide Building Society.

2012-11-2908:55EUR
German Unemployment Changehelp
20K15K3
German Unemployment Change

An important measure of the number of unemployed persons seeking employment in the German economy.

2012-11-2909:10EUR
Retail PMIhelp
45.3-1
Retail PMI

The Retail Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the retail sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.

2012-11-2909:30GBP
M4 Money Supplyhelp
0.2%0.4%1
M4 Money Supply

Measures the monthly change in currency outstanding. Higher levels of currency can have a devaluing effect on the currency. M4 Money Supply is calculated as M0 + UK residents' bank deposits + deposits made by the private sector.

2012-11-2910:30GBP
BOE Gov King Speakshelp
**5
BOE Gov King Speaks

Bank of England's (BOE) Governor Mervyn King is due to speak today. These speeches typically carry a moderate impact on the market as investors try to speculate about future monetary policy decisions.

2012-11-2910:30GBP
BoE Financial Stability Reporthelp
**3
BoE Financial Stability Report

The Bank of England's (BoE) Financial Stability Report analyzes financial stability and ways to promote and maintain a stable financial infrastructure. It is issued quarterly and carries insight into the BoE's view of financial market conditions.

2012-11-2911:00GBP
CBI Realized Saleshelp
30193
CBI Realized Sales

The Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) Realized Sales Survey is a measure of the retail and wholesale sector based on whether sales have increased or decreased over the previous year. It is an indicator of retail and wholesale spending by businesses and consumers.

2012-11-2913:30CAD
Current Accounthelp
-16.0B-18.0B3
Current Account

The Current Account is a measure of the trade undertaken by the country. It factors into the Trade Balance and carries an impacton GDP. This is primarily a measure of the quarterly difference in value between imported and exported goods and services.

2012-11-2913:30CAD
RMPIhelp
1.3%-0.4%3
RMPI

The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) is a measure of the inflation rate on materials purchased by manufacturers.

2012-11-2913:30CAD
IPPIhelp
0.5%0.0%1
IPPI

The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) is a measure of the inflation rate for goods as they leave the plant from which they were manufactured.

2012-11-2913:30USD
Prelim GDPhelp
2.0%2.8%5
Prelim GDP

This report is a measure of the change in the value of all goods and services produced by an economy. It is a primary gauge of the economy's health.

2012-11-2913:30USD
Unemployment Claimshelp
410K392K5
Unemployment Claims

An indicator which measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance with the government for the first time during the past week. This is one of the earlier releases of economic data.

2012-11-2913:30USD
Prelim GDP Price Indexhelp
2.8%2.8%1
Prelim GDP Price Index

Measures the change in the price of goods and services calculated in GDP. It acts as one of the primary tools used by the central bank to assess inflation.

2012-11-2914:00USD
FOMC Member Dudley Speakshelp
**1
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member William Dudley is due to speak today. Traders usually watch these speeches closely as they are then able to speculate about future monetary policy decisions.

2012-11-2915:00USD
Pending Home Saleshelp
0.3%0.9%5
Pending Home Sales

This indicator offers a measure for the number of real estate contracts signed for already existing homes. Housing data is a leading indicator of economic health.

2012-11-2915:30USD
Natural Gas Storagehelp
-38B-5B1
Natural Gas Storage

This figure measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in storage by this country from week to week. It has a moderate impact on the price of fuels, but provides mixed results for investors.

2012-11-2916:20EUR
German Buba Pres Weidmann Speakshelp
**3
German Buba Pres Weidmann Speaks

Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council May 2011 - Apr 2019. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council;

2012-11-2921:45NZD
Building Consentshelp
7.8%-1
Building Consents

This report is a measure of impending construction activity. It is a significant indicator since the first step in beginning a new construction project is the acquisition of permits granting the approval to do so.

2012-11-2923:15JPY
Manufacturing PMIhelp
46.9-1
Manufacturing PMI

The Manufacturing sector's Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) is an indicator which measures how much activity the purchasing managers of the manufacturing sector in the economy are experiencing.

2012-11-2923:30JPY
Household Spendinghelp
-0.9%-0.8%5
Household Spending

This report acts as a measure in the change in value of consumer expenditures. Consumer spending accounts for a majority of Japan's GDP.

2012-11-2923:30JPY
Tokyo Core CPIhelp
-0.4%-0.4%3
Tokyo Core CPI

This is a measure of the Japanese economy's Consumer Price Index, a national inflationary measure which subtracts the impact received from the price of food and energy.

2012-11-2923:30JPY
National Core CPIhelp
-0.1%-0.1%1
National Core CPI

This is a measure of the Japanese economy's Consumer Price Index, a national inflationary measure.

2012-11-2923:30JPY
Unemployment Ratehelp
4.2%4.2%1
Unemployment Rate

This figure represents the percentage of potential workers that are currently unemployed and actively seeking a job. This report is typically overlooked as its information is derived from previously released indicators.

2012-11-2923:50JPY
Prelim Industrial Productionhelp
-4.1%-1.8%3
Prelim Industrial Production

This is a measure of the change in the total value of output produced by manufacturers and other facilities after being adjusted for inflation.

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